港股9月投资策略：关注2季报板块的业绩分化

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the performance divergence in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly after the second quarter earnings reports, with a notable lack of continuation in the upward trend of the Hang Seng Index due to earnings downgrades [3][4] - The report recommends focusing on sectors such as AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, raw materials, and specific consumer segments that are showing strong performance despite overall market challenges [3][4] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the turnover rate in the A-share market, indicating that a turnover rate of 2.9% is a critical threshold for market health during upward trends [1][39] Group 2 - The report identifies key time windows in the Kitchin cycle, particularly November-December and April of the following year, as significant for market performance [2] - The report notes that the current A-share market is experiencing accelerated upward movement, driven by strong policy support and liquidity, similar to past bull markets [39][50] - The report suggests that the ongoing bull market may face a correction before the end of the Kitchin cycle, indicating potential volatility in the near future [50]