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安踏体育(02020):户外品牌引领增长,持续深化全球化布局
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-08-29 11:53

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][4][8] Core Views - Anta Sports reported a mid-year revenue of 38.544 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.031 billion yuan, up 14.5% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [4] - The main brand of Anta achieved a revenue of 16.95 billion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year, while the FILA brand generated 14.18 billion yuan, increasing by 8.6% year-on-year. Other brands saw a significant revenue increase of 61.1% [4] - The company is expanding its global presence, having completed the acquisition of the German outdoor brand Jack Wolfskin and established a joint venture with MUSINSA to enhance its fashion business in South Korea [4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2023A: 62.356 billion yuan - 2024A: 70.826 billion yuan (growth rate: 16%) - 2025E: 79.199 billion yuan (growth rate: 12%) - 2026E: 87.632 billion yuan (growth rate: 11%) - 2027E: 96.254 billion yuan (growth rate: 10%) [3][4] - Net Profit Forecast: - 2023A: 10.236 billion yuan - 2024A: 15.596 billion yuan (growth rate: 35%) - 2025E: 13.906 billion yuan (growth rate: -11%) - 2026E: 15.539 billion yuan (growth rate: 12%) - 2027E: 17.327 billion yuan (growth rate: 12%) [3][4] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2023A: 3.65 yuan - 2024A: 5.56 yuan - 2025E: 4.95 yuan - 2026E: 5.54 yuan - 2027E: 6.17 yuan [3][4] - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2023A: 24% - 2024A: 28% - 2025E: 20% - 2026E: 19% - 2027E: 17% [3][4] - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: - 2023A: 23.9 - 2024A: 15.7 - 2025E: 17.6 - 2026E: 15.7 - 2027E: 14.1 [3][4] - Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: - 2023A: 4.8 - 2024A: 4.0 - 2025E: 3.2 - 2026E: 2.7 - 2027E: 2.3 [3][4]