Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for China Foods [2][5]. Core Views - The carbonated product category is recovering, with proactive actions taken by the company to capitalize on this trend [1][3]. - The company achieved steady revenue growth and improved profitability, with a 8.3% year-on-year increase in operating revenue for the first half of 2025 [9][10]. - The gross profit margin rose to 38.1% due to price increases and optimized product mix, although operating profit growth was slightly lower than revenue growth [9][10]. - The carbonated beverage segment led the recovery, with a 9.4% year-on-year revenue growth driven by both volume and price increases [10][11]. - New business segments, such as energy drinks, showed significant growth, with Monster's revenue increasing by nearly 50% year-on-year [11][12]. - The company is actively increasing investments in market competition, particularly in refrigeration, with a doubling of refrigerator investments compared to the previous year [12][13]. - Future plans include expanding into the nutritious and healthy food sector, with a development plan for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period being formulated [13]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 22.75 billion, RMB 23.92 billion, and RMB 25.16 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 5.9%, 5.1%, and 5.2% respectively [5][14]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 900 million, RMB 1.03 billion, and RMB 1.14 billion for the same period, with corresponding EPS of RMB 0.32, RMB 0.37, and RMB 0.41 [5][14]. - The report assigns a target price of HKD 5.30 for 2025, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 15x [5][14].
中国食品（00506）：碳酸复苏，积极作为