ZHEFU(SZ:002266) China Post Securities·2025-08-29 13:19Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment [9]. Core Insights - The company is one of China's three major hydropower equipment manufacturers and the largest private clean energy equipment manufacturer, as well as the largest publicly listed hazardous waste treatment company in China [4][20]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand in the pumped storage and nuclear power sectors, with a projected revenue growth driven by the government's three-year action plan against illegal waste disposal [4][6]. - The company has shown a significant increase in R&D investment, with a forecasted R&D expenditure of 940 million yuan in 2024, up from 50 million yuan in 2019, supporting its equipment manufacturing capabilities [4][47]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has evolved from a small hydropower equipment manufacturer to a comprehensive group involved in large hydropower, nuclear power equipment, and hazardous waste disposal [20]. - It has successfully delivered contracts for control rod drive mechanisms for 17 "Hualong One" nuclear reactors domestically and internationally [4][21]. Industry Outlook - The pumped storage and nuclear power industries are experiencing a sustained increase in demand, with the approval of 48 new pumped storage power stations in 2022, totaling 68.9 million kilowatts [4][5]. - The global nuclear power sector is recovering, with investments projected to reach 150 billion USD, indicating a strong future for nuclear energy as a clean baseload power source [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 21.61 billion, 22.37 billion, and 23.20 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to grow at a CAGR of 25.7% over the same period [7][9]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.24, 0.30, and 0.38 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7]. Business Segments - The hazardous waste treatment and resource recovery business is the main revenue driver, accounting for 94.6% of total revenue in 2024 [35]. - The gross profit margins for hazardous waste treatment and clean energy equipment are expected to be 10.4% and 40.1%, respectively, in 2024 [37]. R&D and Technological Advancements - The company has been increasing its R&D capabilities, with a focus on enhancing the technology of pumped storage and nuclear power equipment [48]. - Continuous upgrades in technology have led to a growing order book, with significant contracts awarded in the pumped storage sector from 2022 to 2024 [52].