流动性和机构行为跟踪:资金继续宽松,杠杆小幅回升
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-08-31 00:42
- Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report The report tracks the liquidity and institutional behavior in the fixed - income market. It shows that the funds remain loose, and the leverage ratio has slightly increased. The overnight fund prices have declined, while the seven - day fund prices are volatile. The central bank has injected funds to support the cross - month liquidity. The yields of certificates of deposit (CDs) have different trends, and the net financing of CDs continues to be negative with a shortened average issuance term. The net issuance of government bonds will increase next week, and the net payment will decrease. The inter - bank leverage ratio has slightly risen this week [1][2][3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds - Overnight fund prices have declined, and seven - day fund prices are volatile. R001 closed at 1.42% (previous value: 1.45%), DR001 at 1.33% (previous value: 1.41%), R007 at 1.52% (previous value: 1.48%), and DR007 at 1.52% (previous value: 1.47%). The spread between DR007 and 7 - day OMO was 11.58bp. The 6M national and joint - stock bank bill transfer and discount rate closed at 0.80% (previous value: 0.59%) [1]. - The central bank injected funds to support the cross - month liquidity. This week, the central bank's reverse repurchase injection was 227.31 billion yuan, with 207.7 billion yuan maturing, resulting in a net injection of 19.61 billion yuan. MLF injection was 60 billion yuan, with 30 billion yuan maturing, resulting in a net injection of 30 billion yuan [1]. 3.2 Certificates of Deposit - The yields of CDs have different trends. The 3M yield decreased by 1.00bp to 1.54%, the 6M yield increased by 0.04bp to 1.61%, and the 1Y yield decreased by 0.50bp to 1.66%. The spread between the 1 - year CD and R007 narrowed by 3.82bp to 14.29bp [2]. - The net financing of CDs continues to be negative, and the average issuance term has shortened. This week, the net financing of CDs was - 19.47 billion yuan (previous value: - 24.55 billion yuan). The 1 - year CD issuance rates of state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks were 1.67%, 1.67%, 1.71%, and 1.76% respectively, with changes of + 0bp, - 0.80bp, - 3.68bp, and + 4.40bp compared to the previous values. The weighted average issuance term this week was 6.0M (previous value: 6.5M), with 3M CDs issued at 10.5 billion yuan, 6M at 19.87 billion yuan, and 1Y at 7.17 billion yuan [2]. 3.3 Institutional Behavior - Next week, the net issuance of government bonds will increase, and the net payment will decrease. This week, the net issuance of national bonds was - 23.71 billion yuan, and that of local bonds was 24.36 billion yuan, with a total net issuance of 0.65 billion yuan and a total net payment of 19.93 billion yuan. Next week, the expected net issuance of national bonds is 11.98 billion yuan, and that of local bonds is 3.67 billion yuan, with a total net issuance of 15.65 billion yuan and a total net payment of - 0.79 billion yuan [3]. - The inter - bank leverage ratio has slightly risen this week. The average daily trading volume of pledged repurchase was 7.07 trillion yuan (previous value: 7.13 trillion yuan), and the average daily inter - bank market leverage ratio was 108.78% (previous value: 108.42%) [3].