POWERCHINA Ltd(SH:601669) Tianfeng Securities·2025-08-31 01:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6][17] Core Views - The company demonstrated resilient revenue in Q2, achieving a total revenue of 292.76 billion with a year-on-year growth of 2.66%. The net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 13.81% to 5.43 billion [1] - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, where it is a major participant [1][4] - The report has adjusted the forecast for the company's net profit for 2025-2027, now estimating 12.05 billion, 13.05 billion, and 14.13 billion respectively, down from previous estimates [1] Revenue Breakdown - In H1 2025, revenue from engineering contracting and surveying design was 265.93 billion, power investment and operation was 12.39 billion, and other businesses contributed 13.56 billion, with year-on-year changes of +3.19%, +1.73%, and -5.42% respectively [2] - The company has a total installed capacity of 35.16 million kilowatts, with wind power, solar energy, hydropower, thermal power, and independent storage capacities showing year-on-year growth of 20.45%, 60.87%, 3.53%, stable, and stable respectively [2] Profitability and Cash Flow - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 11.23%, a decrease of 1.04 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margins for engineering contracting, power investment, and other businesses were 8.46%, 45.05%, and 32.25% respectively [3] - The company experienced a net cash outflow of 51.20 billion in H1 2025, which is an increase of 4.57 billion compared to the same period last year [3] Contract and Order Growth - The company signed new contracts worth 686.70 billion in H1 2025, achieving 49.13% of the annual target, with a year-on-year increase of 5.83%. The new contracts in the energy and power sector amounted to 431.39 billion, reflecting a growth of 12.27% [4] - The overseas new contract amount reached 141.67 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 17.5%, indicating sustained high demand in international markets [4] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected revenue for 2025 is 656.97 billion, with a growth rate of 3.53%. The estimated net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is 12.05 billion, with an EPS of 0.70 [5][11] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to be 8.46 for 2025, while the P/B ratio is expected to be 0.58 [5][11]