Huachuang Securities·2025-08-31 08:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for China Merchants Bank with a target price of 52.9 CNY [2][8]. Core Views - The bank's performance shows a positive turnaround in profit growth, with a slight increase in net profit by 0.25% year-on-year for H1 2025, despite a revenue decline of 1.72% [2][8]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.93%, and a provision coverage ratio of 410.93% [2][8]. - The bank's wealth management business is recovering, with a significant increase in fee income from wealth management services, growing by 11.9% year-on-year [2][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, total revenue reached 1699.69 billion CNY, with net interest income of 1060.85 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.57% [2][8]. - The bank's net fee and commission income was 376.02 billion CNY, with a reduced decline from 2.51% in Q1 to 1.89% in H1 [2][8]. - The average cost of customer deposits decreased significantly by 34 basis points year-on-year to 1.26% [2][8]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The overall risk indicators are strong, with a stable NPL generation rate of 0.98% annualized for H1 2025, showing a decrease of 0.04 percentage points year-on-year [2][8]. - The bank's corporate loan NPL ratio improved significantly, decreasing by 13 basis points to 0.93% [2][8]. - Retail loan quality remains manageable, with an NPL ratio of 1.03%, influenced by consumer loans [2][8]. Strategic Outlook - The bank is focusing on enhancing its retail wealth management capabilities, with total assets under management (AUM) exceeding 16 trillion CNY, marking a growth of 7.39% year-to-date [2][8]. - The establishment of a financial asset investment company is expected to broaden the bank's service offerings and revenue sources [2][8]. - Long-term fundamentals are solid, with a clear strategic execution plan aimed at deepening retail customer relationships and leveraging financial technology [2][8].