HTSC·2025-08-31 10:35Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of the company [5][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.684 billion RMB for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.41%, and a net profit of 377 million RMB, up 24.49% year-on-year. The proposed cash dividend is 0.1 RMB per share, with a payout ratio of 36.9% [1][2]. - The company's solid waste management operations are stable, with strong free cash flow. The stock incentive plan sets clear growth targets for profits and cash flow, reflecting confidence in future development. The current dividend yield for A/H shares is 4.3%/7.0% [1][3]. - The company has seen a 45% year-on-year increase in free cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities rising by 16.36% to 632 million RMB [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company processed 7.1543 million tons of municipal waste, generating 2.539 billion kWh of electricity, with a gross margin increase of 4.90 percentage points to 49.53% due to cost control and revenue growth from new business areas [2][3]. - The income tax expense for H1 2025 was 97.75 million RMB, with an effective tax rate of 19.69% [2]. Cash Flow and Dividends - As of June 30, accounts receivable stood at 2.787 billion RMB, primarily due to extended settlement cycles. The company’s free cash flow reached 475 million RMB, indicating strong operational cash generation [3][4]. - The performance targets set in the stock incentive plan suggest potential for increased dividends per share (DPS) in the coming years [3]. Valuation and Price Targets - The target price for A shares is set at 8.18 RMB, while for H shares it is 6.25 HKD, based on a projected PE ratio of 16.7x for A shares and 11.6x for H shares [4][5]. - The report forecasts net profits of 684 million RMB, 733 million RMB, and 774 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][8].