GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-08-31 10:33Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a decrease in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 59.349 billion yuan, down 17.93% year-on-year, and net profit at 4.652 billion yuan, down 38.53% year-on-year [1] - The company has announced a mid-term dividend plan, proposing a cash dividend of 0.18 yuan per share, totaling 1.807 billion yuan, with a cash dividend ratio of 38.84% [4] - The company is expected to see significant sales growth in its Australian operations in Q3 2025 [2] Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company's coal production reached 73.6 million tons, an increase of 6.5% year-on-year, while self-produced coal sales decreased by 2.2% [8] - The average selling price of coal for H1 2025 was 530 yuan per ton, down 20.7% year-on-year, while the comprehensive cost was 295 yuan per ton, down 27.3% year-on-year [8] - The chemical segment showed a production increase of 13.5% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a comprehensive gross profit of 733 yuan per ton, up 16.0% year-on-year [8] Future Outlook - The company maintains its profit distribution policy, expecting to increase cash dividends in the second half of 2025 [4] - The company forecasts net profits of 9.891 billion yuan, 11.857 billion yuan, and 13.709 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.1X, 11.0X, and 9.5X [9][10]