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农业重点数据跟踪周报:猪肉收储提振市场情绪,宠物行业景气延续-20250831
CAITONG SECURITIES·2025-08-31 10:40

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in the pig farming industry, with a focus on the potential for value reassessment of pig farming companies [2][5] - The agricultural sector has shown a mixed performance recently, with the overall index up by 2.02% week-on-week, while the pig farming segment has seen a notable increase of 4.39% [11][12] Livestock Farming Data Tracking - Pig prices have slightly declined this week due to sufficient supply and market sentiment being buoyed by government stockpiling efforts [7][16] - The number of breeding sows has shown a slight decrease, with July figures indicating a 0.02% month-on-month decline [20][22] - The average price for market pigs as of August 28 is 13.70 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.51% [30][36] - Profitability in pig farming remains positive for self-bred pigs, with a profit of 32.24 CNY per head, while purchased piglets show a loss of 148.41 CNY per head [38][41] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The price of white feathered chickens remains stable, with an average price of 7.33 CNY/kg as of August 29 [39][42] - The ongoing avian influenza outbreaks in Europe and the U.S. create uncertainty in the supply of breeding chickens, which may benefit the white feathered chicken industry [39][40] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, driven by the recovery in livestock numbers and the introduction of new products [47] - Significant growth in the issuance of veterinary vaccine approvals has been noted, particularly for African swine fever vaccines, which may enhance market interest [47][51] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have decreased slightly, with wheat at 2429 CNY/ton, soybean meal at 3071 CNY/ton, and corn at 2365 CNY/ton as of August 29 [52][53] - The USDA's August report indicates a decrease in global corn stocks for the 2025/26 season compared to the previous year, while soybean stocks are also projected to decline [54][56] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports have seen a decline, with July figures showing a 3.0% year-on-year decrease, amounting to 930 million CNY [58][60] - Domestic sales in the pet food market continue to grow, with notable increases in sales for brands like Guai Bao and Pei Di [60][61] - The recent Asia Pet Expo showcased over 2600 exhibitors and more than 20000 brands, indicating a robust growth in the pet industry [61][62]