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信达生物(01801):稳步推进五年战略规划,国际化战略开始加速

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 105.80, up from a previous target of HKD 90.10 [2][12]. Core Insights - The company is steadily advancing its five-year strategic plan, with an emphasis on internationalization and domestic commercialization, particularly in oncology and cardiovascular markets [4][19]. - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profitability, with a net profit of RMB 830 million in 1H25, driven by strong product sales and improved R&D efficiency [3][18]. - The company aims to achieve EBITDA breakeven by 2025 and domestic revenue of RMB 20 billion by 2027, with a focus on advancing multiple assets into global Phase III clinical trials by 2030 [5][20]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 2025 is projected to reach RMB 12.58 billion, representing a 34% year-over-year growth, with net profit expected to turn positive at RMB 1.38 billion [12][27]. - The gross margin is expected to remain strong at around 84% in the coming years, with operating profit anticipated to improve significantly [16][27]. Product Pipeline and R&D - The oncology pipeline includes IBI363, which is positioned as a next-generation IO therapy, with ongoing global Phase III trials for various indications [21][22]. - The cardiovascular and metabolic (CVM) segment is highlighted by masitidutide, which is expected to become a leading product in weight loss and diabetes management, with anticipated approval in 2H25 [24][25]. - The company has a rich pipeline of R&D catalysts, with several key programs expected to yield important data in the near future [26][29].