Soochow Securities·2025-09-01 02:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, suggesting an increase in investment weight towards automotive dividend style configurations for the second half of 2025 [3][52]. Core Insights - The automotive sector experienced a week-on-week increase of 9.4% in insurance registrations, indicating a continued recovery in demand [2][46]. - The report highlights the performance of various segments, with commercial cargo vehicles leading the gains at +1.6%, followed by commercial passenger vehicles at +0.8% [2]. - Key companies such as BYD and Great Wall Motors reported significant revenue growth in Q2 2025, with BYD achieving a revenue of 200.92 billion yuan, up 14.0% year-on-year [2][3]. Summary by Sections Weekly Review - The total insurance registrations for passenger vehicles reached 470,000 units, reflecting a 9.4% increase from the previous week [46]. - The report notes that the automotive sector's performance in A-shares ranked 14th, while Hong Kong shares ranked 5th [7][9]. Market Trends - The report indicates that the automotive industry is at a crossroads, with the end of the electric vehicle dividend and the rise of automotive intelligence [3]. - It suggests a focus on dividend and structural opportunities in segments such as buses, heavy trucks, and two-wheelers [3]. Company Performance - Great Wall Motors reported a revenue of 52.3 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 30.7% [2]. - BYD's Q2 2025 revenue was 200.92 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 16.3%, reflecting a slight decline compared to previous quarters [2]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates a strong demand for passenger vehicles in 2025, projecting a total retail sales volume of 23.7 million units, a 4.1% increase year-on-year [47][48]. - The introduction of policies to support vehicle scrappage and replacement is expected to further boost domestic consumption [47][55].