KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-09-01 02:11Investment Rating - The investment rating for Dongfang Securities (600958.SH) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the deepening transformation of the buy-side advisory and a significant year-on-year increase in proprietary investment [4] - For the first half of 2025, the company's total operating revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 8.0 billion and 3.46 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 39% and 64%, aligning with previous performance forecasts [4] - The annualized weighted ROE is 8.54%, up by 3.22 percentage points year-on-year, with a leverage ratio of 3.74 times at the end of the period, an increase of 0.36 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company plans a mid-term dividend of 0.120 yuan per share, with a dividend payout ratio of 29% [4] - The report anticipates a recovery in wealth management and large asset management business lines, driven by active market trading and rising stock prices, leading to upward revisions of net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, brokerage, investment banking, asset management, interest net income, and investment income increased by 31%, 32%, -15%, -33%, and 75% year-on-year, respectively, with brokerage, investment banking, and proprietary investment driving performance growth [6] - The company completed 10 equity financing deals, ranking 6th in the industry, with a total bond underwriting scale of 277.9 billion yuan, up 28% year-on-year, ranking 9th in the market [6] - The investment income (including fair value changes) reached 4.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 75%, with an annualized proprietary investment return rate of 6.2% [6] - The financial asset scale at the end of the period was 146.5 billion yuan, up 28% year-on-year [6] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 1.19, 1.10, and 1.01 for 2025-2027 [4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.87 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 13.2 [10] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 7.397 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 120.8% [10]