Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of BYD, with current prices at 114.06 CNY and 114.40 HKD respectively [5]. Core Insights - In 1H25, BYD's total revenue increased by 23.3% year-on-year to 371.3 billion CNY, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 13.8% to 15.5 billion CNY. However, 2Q25 showed a decline in net profit by 29.9% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company achieved significant growth in the mid-to-high-end market and accelerated growth in overseas markets, with total sales of new energy passenger vehicles increasing by 31.5% year-on-year to 2.11 million units in 1H25 [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 2Q25 revenue was 200.9 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 14.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.9%. However, net profit for the same quarter decreased by 29.9% year-on-year to 6.4 billion CNY [1]. - The report projects a decline in net profit for 2025-2027, with estimates adjusted down by 34%, 29%, and 21% respectively [3]. Market Positioning - BYD's multi-brand strategy has deepened, achieving breakthroughs in the mid-to-high-end market. The launch of models like Han L and Tang L has led to strong sales performance [2]. - The company has expanded its global presence, with export sales increasing by 128.2% year-on-year to 464,000 units in 1H25, indicating a successful global strategy [2]. Profitability and Valuation - The report provides a detailed forecast for revenue and net profit from 2023 to 2027, with expected revenue of 898.6 billion CNY in 2025 and a projected net profit of 35.7 billion CNY [4][10]. - Key profitability metrics include a projected gross margin of 19.1% in 2025 and a return on equity (ROE) of 17.0% [12].
比亚迪(002594):2Q25业绩承压,中高端市场取得突破+海外市场加速成长