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华电国际(600027):符合预期,关注2026年容量电价提高对冲发电量下滑影响
Soochow Securities·2025-09-01 03:07

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huadian International [1] Core Views - The company's 2025 half-year report meets expectations, with a focus on the impact of increased capacity pricing to offset the decline in power generation [7] - The coal power segment achieved a total profit of 2.748 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.9% [7] - The overall revenue for the first half of 2025 was 59.953 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.0% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.904 billion yuan, an increase of 13.2% year-on-year [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 117.176 billion, 112.994 billion, 111.247 billion, 113.262 billion, and 136.224 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.45%, -3.57%, -1.55%, 1.81%, and 20.27% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is projected to be 4.522 billion, 5.703 billion, 6.452 billion, 6.813 billion, and 7.740 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 3789.00%, 26.11%, 13.14%, 5.60%, and 13.60% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2025E is projected at 0.56 yuan per share, with a P/E ratio of 9.54 [1] Operational Metrics - The total power generation in the first half of 2025 was 1206.21 billion kWh, a decrease of 6.4% year-on-year, with coal power generation at 979.77 billion kWh, down 9.0% [7] - The average on-grid electricity price was 516.80 yuan/MWh, a decrease of 1.4% year-on-year, with coal power at 466.29 yuan/MWh, down 3.8% [7] - The coal consumption per unit of power generated was 280.04 grams/kWh, a decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, while the standard coal price was 850.74 yuan/ton, down 13.0% [7]