Tianfeng Securities·2025-09-01 03:14Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to a decline in both coal prices and production volumes, resulting in a year-on-year decrease of 38.5% in net profit for the first half of 2025 [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 0.18 per share and initiate a share buyback program to return value to shareholders [3] - Future performance is expected to improve as coal prices stabilize and production capacity gradually increases, leading to a maintained "Buy" rating [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of RMB 59.35 billion, down 17.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 4.65 billion, down 38.5% year-on-year [1] - The coal business saw a production and sales volume of 73.6 million and 64.81 million tons respectively, with a decrease in sales price for various coal types [2] - The company’s coal chemical segment showed a positive trend with a gross profit contribution of RMB 3.1 billion, up 29.2% year-on-year [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of RMB 8.94 billion, RMB 9.65 billion, and RMB 10.69 billion respectively, reflecting a decline in 2025 followed by growth in subsequent years [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 0.89, RMB 0.96, and RMB 1.07 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14.5, 13.5, and 12.2 [4][5]