Jinko Solar(SH:688223) Soochow Securities·2025-09-01 04:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for JinkoSolar is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company maintains its leading position in module shipments, with a continuous upgrade of TOPCon technology [1] - Despite short-term price pressures, the company is expected to recover profitability as module prices stabilize and improve due to industry trends [8] - The company has achieved significant advancements in N-type technology, with battery efficiency reaching 27.02% in H1 2025, and plans to upgrade a substantial portion of its existing capacity [8] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, total revenue is projected at 118.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 43.55% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 7.44 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 153.20% [1] - In 2025, total revenue is forecasted to decline to 68.47 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 25.95% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -4.23 billion yuan in 2025, a significant decline compared to previous years [1] Shipment and Production Insights - In H1 2025, the company shipped 41.84 GW of modules, maintaining its position as the industry leader [8] - The company anticipates module shipments of approximately 20-23 GW in Q3 2025, with a total expected shipment of 90-100 GW for the year [8] - Energy storage shipments have also exceeded expectations, with H1 2025 shipments reaching 1.5 GWh, surpassing the entire 2024 target [8] Cost Management and Capital Expenditure - The company has successfully reduced operating expenses, with a 5.1% year-on-year decrease in H1 2025 [8] - Capital expenditures in H1 2025 were significantly reduced by 72.3% compared to the previous year [8] - The company is focusing on stringent cost control and reducing capital expenditures to improve cash flow [8]