So-Young(US:SY) Guohai Securities·2025-09-01 05:39Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the company's beauty treatment revenue exceeded guidance, with over 70% of new customers acquired through private channels and referrals [5]. - The company reported total revenue of 378.7 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.0%, and a net loss of 36 million yuan compared to a net profit of 18.9 million yuan in the same period last year [5]. - The beauty treatment service revenue reached 144.4 million yuan, surpassing the previous guidance of 120-140 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 426.1% driven by the expansion of beauty centers [5]. - The company anticipates Q3 2025 beauty treatment service revenue to be between 150-170 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 230.5% to 274.6% [5]. - The company plans to expand its beauty center network to 50 locations by the end of the year, with over 70% of new customers coming from private channels and referrals, resulting in a low customer acquisition cost [5]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 1.567 billion yuan, 2.751 billion yuan, and 4.366 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7%, 76%, and 59% [7]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is a loss of 148 million yuan, followed by profits of 36 million yuan and 134 million yuan in 2026 and 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 75% and 124% [7]. - The report indicates a significant improvement in gross margin for the beauty treatment business, reaching 24.25% in Q2 2025, an increase of 5.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5].