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股指期货将震荡整理,白银期货再创上市以来新高,震荡偏强,黄金、铜、镍、豆粕期货将偏强震荡,玻璃、纯碱期货将震荡偏弱,螺纹钢、铁矿石、焦煤、原油期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-09-01 05:46

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures on September 1st, 2025, including股指期货 (shock consolidation), 白银期货 (shock - strong and hitting a new high), etc. [2][3] - The A - share market has shown positive trends recently, with major indices rising in August. Multiple factors are expected to support its long - term positive development, and sectors such as technology, consumption, and dividend assets are favored [22][23][27] - The prices of international commodities are affected by various factors such as supply - demand relationships, economic data, and policies. For example, US crude oil production hitting a new high has pressured oil prices [17] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market Forecast (1) Stock Index Futures - On September 1st, 2025, 股指期货 will shock and consolidate and accumulate strength for an upward attack. Specific contracts have corresponding support and resistance levels. For example, IF2509 has resistance at 4550 and 4600 points and support at 4500 and 4475 points [2] - In September 2025, IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts are expected to be shock - strong [30][31] (2) Bond Futures - On September 1st, 2025, the ten - year treasury bond futures main contract T2512 will likely have a wide - range shock, with support at 107.66 and 107.53 yuan and resistance at 107.91 and 108.04 yuan. The thirty - year treasury bond futures main contract TL2512 will also likely have a wide - range shock, with support at 116.0 and 115.3 yuan and resistance at 116.8 and 117.4 yuan [2][3] (3) Precious Metal Futures - On September 1st, 2025, the gold futures main contract AU2510 will likely be strong - shock and attack resistance levels of 794.9 and 796.3 yuan/gram, with support at 785.4 and 783.6 yuan/gram. The silver futures main contract AG2510 will likely be shock - strong, attack resistance levels of 9650 and 9700 yuan/kg, and hit a new high since listing, with support at 9386 and 9347 yuan/kg [2][3] (4) Base Metal Futures - On September 1st, 2025, copper, zinc, and nickel futures will likely be strong - shock; aluminum, alumina, tin, and industrial silicon futures will likely be weak - shock; and lead futures' trend is not specifically mentioned in this part of the prediction [3][4] (5) Energy and Chemical Futures - On September 1st, 2025, crude oil, glass, and soda ash futures will likely be weak - shock; PTA, PVC, and methanol futures will also likely be weak - shock [6][7] (6) Agricultural Product Futures - On September 1st, 2025, soybean meal futures will likely be strong - shock; soybean oil, palm oil, and cotton futures will likely be weak - shock [7] 2. Macro - Information and Trading Tips - The State Council held a meeting to study element market - oriented reform pilot projects, deploy county - level high - school revitalization, and review relevant medical plans [8] - Multiple departments have introduced policies to promote employment, support private enterprises, and develop inclusive childcare services [8][9] - The economic data shows that the business revenue of state - owned enterprises is flat, and the manufacturing and non - manufacturing PMIs have rebounded [9] - International events include Sino - US economic and trade exchanges, and the development of Sino - Russian economic cooperation [9][11] 3. A - Share Market Analysis - On August 29th, the A - share market had most major indices rising, with 3300 stocks falling, and some sectors such as lithium - battery, rare - earth, and CRO concepts leading the gains [22] - In August, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 7.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 15.32%, and the ChiNext Index rose 24.13% [23] - In the future, the A - share market is expected to maintain a long - term positive trend, supported by factors such as policy support and economic improvement [27] 4. International Stock and Bond Markets - On August 29th, US stocks closed down due to factors such as technology stock corrections, tariff concerns, and inflation data. European stocks also closed down, affected by geopolitical risks and other factors [29][30] - On August 29th, US bond yields showed different trends, with long - term yields rising and short - term yields fluctuating greatly [56]