ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT(SZ:300308) Zhao Yin Guo Ji·2025-09-01 06:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price raised to 415 RMB, reflecting a 15.6% potential upside from the current price of 354.92 RMB [1][3]. Core Insights - The company reported strong Q2 2025 results, with revenue reaching 8.1 billion RMB, marking a historical high and a year-on-year growth of 36% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 22%. Net profit surged to 2.4 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 79% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 52%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates by 28% [1][6]. - Gross margin and net margin reached historical highs of 41.5% and 29.7%, respectively, surpassing market expectations by 5.7 percentage points and 7.2 percentage points [1][6]. - The company announced a first interim dividend of 0.4 RMB per share, enhancing shareholder returns [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY25E, the company expects sales revenue of 38.252 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 60.3% [2][9]. - The gross margin is projected to be 43.0% for FY25E, an increase from previous estimates [6][9]. - Net profit for FY25E is forecasted at 11.691 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 126.1% [2][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 10.66 RMB for FY25E, with a significant increase from prior years [2][9]. Market Dynamics - The demand for high-performance optical modules is driving revenue growth, with a strong emphasis on 800G and 1.6T product shipments [6]. - The company’s overseas revenue, accounting for 86% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, remains a core growth driver [6]. - The capital expenditure cycle driven by AI is expected to sustain the company's performance, with major cloud providers projected to increase their capital expenditures significantly [6]. Profitability and Margin Expansion - The gross margin for optical modules increased by 6.1 percentage points year-on-year to 40.0%, while the net margin rose by 5.8 percentage points to 29.7% [6]. - The expansion in margins is attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin products and effective supply chain management [6]. - The report anticipates further margin improvement with the large-scale production of 1.6T products in the second half of the year [6].