Guotou Securities·2025-09-01 07:37Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 12-month target price of 4.06 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 3.41 CNY as of August 29, 2025 [3]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in non-net profit attributable to the parent company in Q2, with a year-on-year growth of 30.88% [1]. - Despite overall revenue pressure due to external factors such as declining steel demand and real estate adjustments, the company has shown robust growth in overseas new contracts, particularly in the mining sector [3][8]. - The company's gross profit margin improved to 10.09% in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.04 percentage points [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 237.53 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 20.52%, and a net profit of 3.099 billion CNY, down 25.31% year-on-year [1]. - The Q2 2025 operating revenue was 115.26 billion CNY, a decline of 22.59%, while the net profit was 1.492 billion CNY, showing a slight increase of 1.43% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s sales gross margin was 10.09% in H1 2025, with the engineering contracting segment at 9.58% and the specialty business at 17.62% [2]. Contract and Business Development - The company signed new contracts worth 548.2 billion CNY in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 19.1%, with overseas contracts amounting to 57.75 billion CNY, representing a growth of 32.6% [3]. - The mining resources segment, focusing on metals like nickel, cobalt, and copper, generated revenue of 3.298 billion CNY in H1 2025, with three overseas mines contributing 2.82 billion CNY [3]. Profitability and Cash Flow - The company’s operating cash flow showed improvement, with a net outflow of 21.985 billion CNY in H1 2025, which is a reduction of 33.20% year-on-year [2]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 is adjusted to 5.71 billion CNY, with expected revenues of 476.54 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13.67% [8].