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中国宏观周报(2025年8月第4周)-20250901
Ping An Securities·2025-09-01 08:08

Industrial Sector - Daily average pig iron production increased slightly, while glass production rates improved, indicating a mixed performance in industrial production[2] - Cement clinker capacity utilization rate showed a marginal adjustment, reflecting ongoing challenges in the construction materials sector[2] - Steel and building materials production and apparent demand saw a month-on-month increase, suggesting a recovery in construction activity[2] Real Estate - New home sales in 30 major cities increased by 0.3% year-on-year as of August 29, with a notable improvement from a -9.4% decline earlier in the month[2] - The four-week rolling index for second-hand home listing prices decreased by 0.44% as of August 18, indicating ongoing price pressures in the housing market[2] Domestic Demand - Movie box office revenue averaged 152.4 million yuan per day, up 32.2% year-on-year, reflecting strong consumer interest in entertainment[2] - Retail sales of home appliances grew by 4.7% year-on-year as of August 22, showing a recovery in consumer spending[2] - The volume of postal express deliveries increased by 12.9% year-on-year, although it showed a slight decline from previous weeks[2] External Demand - Port cargo throughput increased by 4.7% year-on-year as of August 24, indicating resilience in external trade[2] - Container throughput at ports rose by 5.9% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in shipping activities[2] - South Korea's exports grew by 7.6% year-on-year in the first 20 days of August, indicating a positive trend in regional trade[2] Price Trends - The South China industrial product index fell by 0.4%, while the black raw materials and non-ferrous metals indices rose by 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively, indicating mixed price movements in commodities[2] - Rebar futures prices dropped by 0.9%, while spot prices fell by 0.3%, reflecting ongoing volatility in the steel market[2]