Guoxin Securities·2025-09-01 11:19Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [3][5][23] Core Views - The integration of Guolian and Minsheng Securities is showing initial results, with significant increases in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 [1][3] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 85.8%, 81.8%, and 71.1% respectively, anticipating net profits of 1.81 billion, 2.00 billion, and 2.14 billion yuan [3][19] - The company is expected to benefit from the synergistic effects of the integration, enhancing its brokerage network, investment banking capabilities, and capital base [3][19] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.011 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.127 billion yuan, up 166.9% [1] - The company's self-operated business revenue reached 2.097 billion yuan, reflecting a 94.3% year-on-year growth [1] - The brokerage business generated revenue of 905 million yuan, a 22.6% increase year-on-year, while investment banking revenue decreased by 9.6% to 531 million yuan [2] Financial Projections - The company forecasts operating revenues of 10.007 billion yuan, 11.087 billion yuan, and 11.838 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 73.9%, 10.8%, and 6.8% [19][20] - The projected net profits for the same years are 1.806 billion yuan, 2.003 billion yuan, and 2.140 billion yuan, with growth rates of 89.7%, 10.9%, and 6.8% [19][20] - Key financial ratios include a projected PE of 38.5, 34.7, and 32.5 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, and a PB of 2.1, 2.0, and 1.9 for the same years [3][20]