Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-09-01 11:31Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The report suggests that the improvement in gross margin is expected to support the company's performance bottoming out [6] - The company reported a revenue of 41.292 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.38%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.368 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.34% [8] - The report highlights that the most challenging period for the company may have passed, as it managed to maintain its sales volume of cement and clinker products despite a decline in overall cement production in the country [8] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 140.999 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.80%. However, a significant decline of 35.44% is expected in 2024 [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 10.430 billion yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year decrease of 33.40%, followed by a recovery in 2025 with an expected profit of 9.328 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 21.21% [7] - The report indicates that the company’s comprehensive gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 25.20%, an increase of 6.27 percentage points year-on-year, driven by price recovery and lower coal costs [8] Market Performance - The report notes a decline in the aggregate business while the ready-mixed concrete business shows an upward trend, with ready-mixed concrete revenue increasing by 28.86% year-on-year [8] - The company’s operating expense ratio increased to 10.69%, up 1.16 percentage points year-on-year, but the net profit margin improved [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 9.328 billion yuan, 10.503 billion yuan, and 11.765 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 12, and 11 times [8]