CRT(SH:600125) HTSC·2025-09-01 12:28Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue of 5.513 billion RMB (down 22.14% YoY) and a net profit of 379 million RMB (up 33.34% YoY), exceeding expectations due to better-than-expected railway freight profitability [1] - The company has proposed a mid-term dividend plan, with a proposed distribution of 0.05 RMB per share (including tax), resulting in a cash dividend ratio of 17.25% [1] - The strong growth in net profit is attributed to a low base from the previous year, where a property inventory impairment loss of 87 million RMB was recorded [1] Business Segments Summary Railway Special Containers - The railway special container business accounted for 69.6% of gross profit in H1 2025, with revenue and gross profit increasing by 3.8% and 12.3% YoY, respectively [2] - The gross margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 32.1% [2] - The company completed the dispatch of 1.02 million TEUs of special containers, a 7.2% increase YoY [2] Railway Freight and Port Logistics - Revenue and gross profit from railway freight and port logistics decreased by 0.93% and 3.1% YoY, respectively, with a gross margin of 20.4% [3] - The company saw a 10.76% increase in the volume of goods transported via the Shaba Line, outperforming the regional port throughput [3] Supply Chain Management - The supply chain management business, primarily involving the procurement of raw materials for steel mills, saw a 32.8% decrease in sales revenue to 3.361 billion RMB, with a gross profit margin of 1.23% [4] - The net profit from the subsidiary China Railway Tielong (Yingkou) International Trade decreased by 28% to 2.3 million RMB [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards by 9.13%, 1.65%, and 5.07% to 579 million, 689 million, and 781 million RMB, respectively, with a CAGR of 16.16% [5] - The target price has been raised by 4.9% to 7.44 RMB based on the industry’s weighted average PE of 16.9x for 2025 [5]