Guotou Securities·2025-09-01 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 140.07 CNY per share [5]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by demand growth and AI applications at the edge [1][2]. - The company's wafer foundry revenue increased by 25.91% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, positioning it as the second-largest pure-play foundry globally [2]. - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth in the third quarter of 2025, with a projected revenue increase of 5%-7% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 32.348 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 23.14%, and a net profit of 2.301 billion CNY, up 39.76% year-on-year [1]. - For the second quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 16.047 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 17.34%, but a net profit decrease of 16.96% [1][2]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 21.91%, an increase of 8 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Business Segments - The wafer foundry revenue by application showed strong growth in the computer and tablet, consumer electronics, and industrial and automotive sectors, with increases of 33.31%, 53.80%, and 65.15% respectively [3]. - The smartphone segment saw a slight decline of 1.67% year-on-year, while the interconnected and wearable segment decreased by 13.63% [3]. Capacity and Capital Expenditure - The company expanded its monthly production capacity by nearly 20,000 12-inch equivalent wafers in the first half of 2025, with a capacity utilization rate of 92.5% in the second quarter [10]. - Capital expenditure in the second quarter of 2025 was 1.885 billion USD, a 33.18% increase from the first quarter [10]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 67.33 billion CNY, 77.77 billion CNY, and 89.28 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 5.04 billion CNY, 6.09 billion CNY, and 7.23 billion CNY [11][13].