XCC(SH:603667) Guoyuan Securities·2025-09-02 04:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong potential for stock price appreciation relative to the benchmark index [5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.894 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 75 million yuan, with a slight increase of 0.31% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in the high-value markets, particularly in the new energy vehicle bearing market and high-end equipment sectors such as aerospace and gas turbines [4]. - The company plans to invest 1.05 billion yuan in the development and industrialization of core components for embodied intelligent robots and automotive intelligent driving, which is expected to enhance its core competitiveness [4]. Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 16.34% and a net profit margin of 3.97%, with slight year-on-year declines of 0.24 and 0.31 percentage points respectively [3]. - The revenue breakdown for the first half of 2025 shows that bearing products accounted for 52.53% of total revenue, followed by automotive parts at 12.87% and air conditioning pipe fittings at 32.42% [2]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.631 billion yuan, 4.028 billion yuan, and 4.468 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 140 million yuan, 175 million yuan, and 235 million yuan for the same years [5][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.38 yuan, 0.48 yuan, and 0.64 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 103.33, 82.44, and 61.58 [5][10]. Business Strategy - The company is adjusting its overseas bearing resource allocation and reducing the scale of its Mexican plant to improve profitability in international operations. It is also focusing on the development of new products such as the reverse planetary roller screw and micro ball screw for robots [4]. - The company has received small batch orders for its reverse planetary roller screw products, leveraging its technological advantages and market positioning [4].