Soochow Securities·2025-09-02 05:27Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production is rapidly increasing, with significant cost reduction and efficiency improvement [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 207.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.5 billion yuan, down 12.79% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects contributing to production growth, with actual oil and gas net production reaching 385 million barrels of oil equivalent in H1 2025, a 6% increase year-on-year [7] - CNOOC's capital expenditure decreased by 9% year-on-year to 57.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a projected budget of 125 to 135 billion yuan for the year [7] - The company has maintained excellent cost control, with a major oil cost of 26.94 USD per barrel in H1 2025, a decrease of 2.9% year-on-year [7] - CNOOC plans to distribute a dividend of 0.73 HKD per share, maintaining a payout ratio of 45.5% [7] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with net profits projected at 141.2 billion yuan, 144.7 billion yuan, and 149.7 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Summary - For 2025, the total revenue is projected to be 409.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.53% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 141.2 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 2.36% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 2.97 yuan for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.73 for A shares and 6.23 for H shares [1][7] - The company aims for oil and gas production targets of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2025, increasing to 810-830 million barrels by 2027 [7]