8月PMI点评：需求偏弱VS生产增强

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector Insights - In August 2025, the manufacturing PMI increased by 0.1 percentage points to 49.4%, remaining below the expansion threshold, with a growth rate slightly lower than the average of 0.2% from 2016 to 2019[1] - The new orders index rose by 0.1 percentage points to 49.5%, contributing 0.03 percentage points to the PMI change[5] - The production index increased by 0.3 percentage points to 50.8%, marking the fourth consecutive month above the critical point[5] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector Insights - The non-manufacturing PMI rose by 0.2 percentage points to 50.3%, indicating expansion, with the services index increasing by 0.5 percentage points to 50.5%[1] - The construction index fell by 1.5 percentage points to 49.1%, dropping into the contraction zone due to adverse weather conditions[1] - The business activity expectation index for services rose to 57.0%, indicating optimism among service sector enterprises[18] Group 3: Employment and Labor Market - The manufacturing employment index decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 47.9%, indicating a decline in employment conditions in the manufacturing sector[1] - The non-manufacturing employment index remained at 45.6%, with the services employment index dropping by 0.5 percentage points to 45.9%[23] - The construction employment index increased by 2.7 percentage points to 43.6%, supported by ongoing major infrastructure projects[23] Group 4: Risks and Economic Outlook - Risks include potential underperformance of domestic macroeconomic policies, delayed data extraction, and concentrated credit events[26] - The overall market demand remains weak, with external demand pressures still significant, indicating that the economic recovery foundation needs to be solidified[5]