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华安证券(600909):投行业务突破,自营投资驱动增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in investment and investment banking businesses, driven by a recovery in the capital market [5] - The wealth management transformation is progressing well, with notable contributions from fund advisory services [4] - The company's self-operated investment strategy has led to substantial increases in equity investment income [4] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.808 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.035 billion yuan, up 44.94% [4] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) improved to 4.52%, an increase of 1.19 percentage points [4] - The company's brokerage, investment banking, and investment businesses all showed significant improvement, with investment business revenue reaching 1.083 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 68.36% [4] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to benefit from the capital market recovery, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 being 1.933 billion yuan, 2.227 billion yuan, and 2.552 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 30.11%, 15.23%, and 14.60% [5][7] - The price-to-book (PB) ratios for the same years are forecasted to be 1.21, 1.13, and 1.04 [5][7] Market Data - As of September 1, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 6.43 yuan, with a year-to-date high of 7.13 yuan and a low of 4.23 yuan [3]