CRHIC(SH:600528) East Money Securities·2025-09-02 07:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Railway Industry (600528) [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 13.583 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.82%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 688 million yuan, down 26.36% year-on-year. Q2 revenue was 7.244 billion yuan, up 5.61% year-on-year, while net profit for Q2 was 370 million yuan, down 20.65% year-on-year [4][5] - The overall demand remains at a bottoming stage, but the company has made breakthroughs in the water conservancy, mining, and overseas markets. New signed orders decreased by 19.7% year-on-year to 21.41 billion yuan for H1 2025, with Q2 new signed orders at 10.77 billion yuan, down 21.8% year-on-year [4] - The company has improved its cash flow collection ability, with a cash collection ratio of 72.44% for H1 2025 and a net cash inflow of 235 million yuan in Q2, showing significant improvement [4] Financial Summary - For 2025-2027, the company is expected to have net profits of 1.595 billion yuan, 1.832 billion yuan, and 2.030 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 11.88x, 10.34x, and 9.33x respectively [5] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 27.991 billion yuan, with a growth rate of -3.49%, and a net profit of 1.595 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 9.90% [6][11] - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 18.05% in 2025, with a net margin of 5.67% [12]