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北方华创(002371):业绩保持稳健增长,产品平台化进程顺利

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][4][23]. Core Views - The company demonstrates steady revenue growth, with a projected total revenue of CNY 39.51 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 32.4% [3][8]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach CNY 7.35 billion in 2025, a growth of 30.7% compared to the previous year [3][8]. - The report highlights the successful platformization of the company's product offerings, with significant market share gains in semiconductor equipment sectors such as etching and thin films [8][9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2024A: CNY 29.84 billion - 2025E: CNY 39.51 billion - 2026E: CNY 50.15 billion - 2027E: CNY 60.22 billion - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 35.1%, 32.4%, 26.9%, and 20.1% respectively [3][9]. - Net Profit Forecast: - 2024A: CNY 5.62 billion - 2025E: CNY 7.35 billion - 2026E: CNY 9.61 billion - 2027E: CNY 12.11 billion - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 44.2%, 30.7%, 30.8%, and 26.0% respectively [3][9]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024A: CNY 7.79 - 2025E: CNY 10.18 - 2026E: CNY 13.32 - 2027E: CNY 16.78 [3][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic semiconductor equipment market, benefiting from the acceleration of domestic substitution processes amid current international trade dynamics [8][9]. - The report notes that the company has made significant investments in R&D, with expenditures reaching CNY 29.15 billion in the first half of 2025, a 30.01% increase year-on-year [8][9]. - The acquisition of a 17.87% stake in ChipSource Micro, a leader in coating and developing equipment, is expected to enhance the company's product matrix and market competitiveness [8][9].