Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiangsu Ninghu Expressway [2][7][17] Core Views - The company's performance slightly underperformed expectations due to changes in the dividend cycle of Jiangsu Bank, with a reported revenue of RMB 9.406 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.6% [7] - The toll revenue for H1 2025 showed a stable increase, amounting to approximately RMB 4.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 1.65% [7] - The ongoing expansion projects are expected to significantly improve regional traffic flow, with the completion of key infrastructure projects by the end of 2025 and mid-2026 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 15.192 billion - 2024: RMB 23.198 billion - 2025E: RMB 23.935 billion - 2026E: RMB 24.730 billion - 2027E: RMB 25.436 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 15% for 2023, 53% for 2024, and 3.2% for 2025E [6][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023: RMB 4.413 billion - 2024: RMB 4.947 billion - 2025E: RMB 5.447 billion - 2026E: RMB 5.790 billion - 2027E: RMB 6.049 billion - The projected PE ratios are 10 for 2023, 9 for 2024, and 8 for 2025E [6][8]
江苏宁沪高速公路（00177）：受江苏银行分红周期变化影响，业绩略低于预期