YUSSEN GROUP(SZ:002986) Huaxin Securities·2025-09-02 10:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company's performance is under short-term pressure due to low product prices, with total revenue for the first half of 2025 at 3.444 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.62%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 22 million yuan, down 89.24% year-on-year [1][2]. - The chemical and new materials business saw a revenue increase of 2.37% to 2.234 billion yuan, while the energy business revenue decreased by 21.75% to 1.210 billion yuan. The overall profitability has declined significantly due to narrowing price spreads between products and raw materials [2]. - The company has increased its R&D investment, reaching 175 million yuan, a 37.36% increase year-on-year, which has impacted cash flow negatively [3]. - The expansion of the butanol production capacity is expected to strengthen the company's competitive edge, with the new capacity projected to reach 150,000 tons per year [4][8]. - The company is expected to fill the market gap left by Shell's exit and improve performance through increased production of MTBE and butanediol, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 129 million, 410 million, and 518 million yuan respectively [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported total operating income of 3.444 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.62% year-on-year, and a net profit of 22 million yuan, down 89.24% year-on-year [1]. - The chemical and new materials segment's revenue increased by 2.37% to 2.234 billion yuan, while the energy segment's revenue decreased by 21.75% to 1.210 billion yuan [2]. R&D and Cash Flow - R&D expenses accounted for 2.78% of total revenue, with a significant increase in investment to 175 million yuan, impacting cash flow negatively [3]. Production Capacity and Market Position - The company is expanding its butanol production capacity, which is expected to enhance its market position and operational efficiency [4][8]. - The new MTBE production capacity is anticipated to help recover from the decline in profitability and fill the market void left by competitors [9]. Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 129 million, 410 million, and 518 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 35.1, 11.1, and 8.8 [9].