Changjiang Securities·2025-09-02 10:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.684 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 377 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5% [2][4] - In Q2 alone, the company recorded operating revenue of 856 million yuan, remaining flat year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 192 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.1% [2][4] - The company has been continuously improving quality and efficiency, resulting in a net profit margin increase of 3.08 percentage points year-on-year in Q2 [10] - The operating cash flow net amount increased by 16.4% year-on-year, and the interest-bearing debt ratio decreased by 2.1 percentage points, indicating a positive outlook for the company's operational indicators and potential for dividend increases [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company processed a total of 7.1543 million tons of municipal waste in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, with a cumulative power generation of 2.539 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.62% [10] - The cumulative steam supply reached 513,800 tons, a significant year-on-year growth of 114.98% [10] - The company’s gross profit margin improved by 4.78 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio decreased by 2.18 percentage points [10] Operational Efficiency - The company has entered a pure operational phase since January 2024, with no new projects under construction, maintaining a stable processing capacity of 40,300 tons per day [10] - The company has expanded its business operations, including sludge direct spray disposal and external steam supply, contributing to revenue growth [10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 684 million yuan, 731 million yuan, and 776 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.8%, 6.94%, and 6.16% [10] - Assuming a dividend payout ratio of 60%, 65%, and 70%, the corresponding dividend yields for the stock price as of August 28, 2025, are projected to be 4.21%, 4.87%, and 5.57% [10]