Shanxi Securities·2025-09-02 10:52Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for Hai Da Group and "Buy-B" for Sheng Nong Development, with several other companies rated as "Increase-A" or "Increase-B" [3][4][5]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector has shown a market performance with the CSI 300 index increasing by 2.71% and the agricultural sector rising by 2.02% during the week of August 25 to August 31 [2][20]. - The report highlights a recovery cycle in the feed industry and marginal improvements in livestock farming, suggesting potential growth opportunities [4][5]. - The report indicates that the current market sentiment may be overly pessimistic regarding the impact of rising pig production capacity on profitability, while it overlooks the positive effects of declining raw material costs and potential macro demand recovery in 2025 [5][6]. Summary by Sections Swine Farming - As of August 29, the average prices for external three yuan pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan were 13.25, 14.84, and 13.73 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week change of -2.21%, -3.57%, and 0.00% respectively [3][28]. - The average pork price was 19.94 yuan/kg, down 0.80% from the previous week, while the average wholesale price for piglets remained stable at 26.00 yuan/kg [3][28]. - The self-breeding profit was 32.24 yuan/head, while the profit from purchasing piglets was -148.41 yuan/head [3][28]. Poultry Farming - As of August 29, the weekly price for white feather broilers was 7.33 yuan/kg, remaining unchanged from the previous week, while the price for broiler chicks increased by 0.84% to 3.61 yuan/chick [3][43]. - The profit from broiler farming was reported at 1.37 yuan/chick, and the egg price was 7.24 yuan/kg, down 0.82% [3][43]. Feed Processing - In July 2025, the total industrial feed production in China was 28.31 million tons, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.3% and a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [50]. - The report notes a significant decline in the factory prices of feed products, with the proportion of corn in compound feed at 33.1% and soybean meal at 14.1% [50]. Aquaculture - As of August 29, the prices for sea cucumbers, shrimp, and bass were stable at 90.00 yuan/kg, 320.00 yuan/kg, and 50.00 yuan/kg respectively [57]. - For freshwater products, the price of grass carp was 16.73 yuan/kg, up 0.54%, while the prices for crucian carp and carp showed slight fluctuations [57]. Crop and Grain Processing - As of August 29, the spot price for soybeans was 4005.79 yuan/ton, with corn and wheat prices at 2364.71 yuan/ton and 2428.89 yuan/ton respectively, showing slight declines [65]. - The report indicates that the prices for various mushroom products remained stable during the same period [65].