Guosen International·2025-09-02 11:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports with a target price of HKD 116, reflecting an adjustment based on slightly better-than-expected performance in the first half of 2025 [1][4]. Core Insights - Anta Sports reported a revenue increase of 14.3% year-on-year to RMB 38.544 billion in H1 2025, with a net profit attributable to shareholders (excluding the impact of Amer's listing gains) rising by 14.5% to RMB 7.03 billion [1][2]. - The Amer brand has turned profitable, contributing approximately RMB 430 million in profit, a significant improvement from a loss of RMB 20 million in H1 2024 [2]. - The main brand, Anta, achieved revenue of RMB 16.95 billion in H1 2025, up 5.4% year-on-year, while FILA's revenue grew by 8.6% to RMB 14.18 billion, driven by strong performance in professional sports categories [3]. Financial Summary - The report projects the following earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027: RMB 4.84, RMB 5.36, and RMB 5.88, respectively, with an upward revision from previous estimates [1][4]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 78.967 billion, RMB 86.321 billion, and RMB 93.886 billion, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 11.5%, 9.3%, and 8.8% [5][12]. - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 62.2% for 2025, with a net profit margin of 17.2% [5][13]. Brand Performance - The other brands under Anta, including Descente and Kolon, saw a remarkable revenue growth of 61.1% to RMB 7.41 billion in H1 2025, with a gross margin of 73.9% [3]. - Anta's strategy includes targeting different consumer segments through various store formats and product lines, enhancing its market presence [2][3].