Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8] Core Viewpoints - Shanghai has optimized and adjusted real estate policies, allowing eligible families to purchase unlimited properties outside the outer ring and increasing the personal housing provident fund loan limit. The new round of adjustments to existing housing loan rates started on September 1, allowing second-home loans to apply for a rate reduction to the first-home level [3][13] - The report highlights that the real estate market is gradually stabilizing, with policies aimed at boosting demand and supporting market recovery. The continuous decline in commodity housing sales area since the peak in 2021 indicates that the industry is entering a bottoming phase, increasing sensitivity to policy easing [3][13] - The report anticipates that the construction materials sector will benefit from supply-side reforms and a potential turning point in the capacity cycle, driven by lower interest rates and improved purchasing power due to policy support [3][6] Summary by Sections High-Frequency Data - As of August 29, 2025, the national average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement is 343.4 CNY/ton, a decrease of 0.2% week-on-week and an 8.0% decline year-on-year. The average prices in various regions are as follows: North China 338.8 CNY/ton, Northeast 432.0 CNY/ton, East China 299.0 CNY/ton, Central South 312.3 CNY/ton, Southwest 329.5 CNY/ton, Northwest 395.2 CNY/ton [4][14] - The national glass (5.00mm) ex-factory price is 1152.9 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.4% and a year-on-year decrease of 14.6% [21][24] Sector Review - From August 25 to August 29, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index increased by 2.11%. The construction materials index rose by 0.14%. Among sub-sectors, fiberglass manufacturing increased by 8.41%, while cement manufacturing decreased by 1.23% [5][56] - The report suggests that the construction materials sector's fundamentals are expected to improve, with a focus on three main investment lines: high-quality companies benefiting from renovation, undervalued stocks with long-term potential, and leading cyclical construction material companies [6][60]
上海继续放宽限购,多地优化公积金政策
Huafu Securities·2025-09-02 11:36