KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-09-02 11:57Investment Rating - The investment rating for Fosun International (00656.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Fosun International's revenue for H1 2025 was 87.3 billion HKD, a year-on-year decrease of 10.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.6 billion HKD, down 8.2% year-on-year. The operational profit was 31.5 billion HKD, reflecting a decline of 9.3% primarily due to the performance drop in the Happy segment, particularly from Yuyuan [5] - The report maintains profit forecasts, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders to be 1.23 billion HKD, 1.63 billion HKD, and 1.9 billion HKD for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth of 32.4% and 17% respectively. The EPS is projected to remain at 0.2 HKD for these years, with the current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of 32.1, 24.3, and 20.7 times [5] - The report emphasizes the group's focus on asset quality improvement and the deepening of global operations, maintaining a "Buy" rating [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 198.2 billion HKD, with a projected decrease to 192.1 billion HKD in 2024, followed by an increase to 201.7 billion HKD in 2025. The net profit is expected to recover from a loss of 4.35 billion HKD in 2024 to 1.23 billion HKD in 2025 [8] - The gross margin is projected to be 42.8% in 2025, with a net margin of 0.6%. The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 0.7% in 2025, with an EPS of 0.2 HKD [8] - The report indicates a stable credit rating for the group, with the average debt cost decreasing to 5.3% in H1 2025, down 50 basis points year-on-year [5]