Soochow Securities·2025-09-02 13:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has exceeded performance expectations in the first half of 2025, leading to an upward revision of the full-year performance guidance [8] - The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached USD 2.43 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42%, driven by the strong sales of core product Zebutini in the US and continued growth in Europe [8] - The company is expected to maintain steady revenue growth over the next three years, with significant profit release anticipated in the coming years [8] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections are as follows: - 2023: CNY 17,423 million - 2024: CNY 27,214 million (YoY +56.19%) - 2025: CNY 36,720 million (YoY +34.93%) - 2026: CNY 44,798 million (YoY +22.00%) - 2027: CNY 55,998 million (YoY +25.00%) [1][9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to improve significantly: - 2023: CNY -6,715.86 million - 2024: CNY -4,978.29 million - 2025: CNY 812.75 million (YoY +116.33%) - 2026: CNY 4,168.46 million (YoY +412.88%) - 2027: CNY 9,542.78 million (YoY +128.93%) [1][9] - The latest diluted EPS projections are: - 2023: CNY -4.70 - 2024: CNY -3.48 - 2025: CNY 0.57 - 2026: CNY 2.91 - 2027: CNY 6.67 [1][9] Key Catalysts - Important catalysts include the upcoming data readout for Sonrotoclax (BCL2 inhibitor) in late 2025 and the initiation of head-to-head trials against rival therapies [8] - The company is also advancing its pipeline in solid tumors and inflammation/immunology, with several clinical trials expected to start in 2026 [8]