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恺英网络(002517):信息服务高增改善收入质量,关注后续业绩释放和AI方向储备进展

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [17]. Core Views - The company's Q2 2025 performance met expectations, with a revenue of 1.23 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 2%, and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 9%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 430 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 13% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 17% [1]. - The report highlights the improvement in revenue quality driven by the information services segment, which saw a significant year-over-year growth of 65% [7]. - The company is focusing on AI developments, with several products in the pipeline, indicating a strong potential for future growth [7]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 5.7 billion, 6.6 billion, and 7.4 billion yuan respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 11%, 16%, and 13% [7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 2.1 billion, 2.5 billion, and 2.9 billion yuan for the same period, with year-over-year growth rates of 29%, 21%, and 16% [7]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 29.65 yuan, with the current price at 22.30 yuan, indicating a potential upside [3]. Business Segment Analysis - Mobile game revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1.88 billion yuan, down 10% year-over-year, while the information services segment generated 660 million yuan, up 65% year-over-year [7]. - The company has a robust pipeline of new games scheduled for release, which is expected to enhance future revenue streams [7]. - The information services business is expected to maintain high growth, with recent agreements indicating a potential revenue of 4.5 billion yuan in the coming quarters [7].