Minsheng Securities·2025-09-02 14:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 71.553 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.51%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.77% to 5.058 billion yuan [1][2]. - The second curve business, particularly in AI servers and self-developed chips, has become a core growth engine, with government and enterprise business revenue growing by 109.93% to 19.254 billion yuan, accounting for 26.91% of total revenue [2][4]. - The company is transitioning from a "connectivity" model to a "connectivity + computing power" strategy, which has shown significant results [2]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's gross profit margin decreased to 32.45%, down 7.99 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the increased revenue share from the lower-margin government and enterprise business [3]. - The net profit margin also declined to 7.07%, a decrease of 2.1 percentage points [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 8.6 billion yuan in 2025, 9.4 billion yuan in 2026, and 11.5 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 25, 23, and 19 [4][5]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 121.299 billion yuan in 2024 to 199.587 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -2.4%, 16.0%, 18.8%, and 19.4% respectively [5][7]. Business Development - The company is building a super-node solution and expanding its full-stack domestic intelligent computing products, leveraging self-developed AI large-capacity switching chips [4]. - The company aims to create an open ecosystem for domestic intelligent computing, supporting large model training and high-concurrency inference [4].