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农夫山泉(09633):2025年中报业绩点评:走出阴霾,龙头归来
Changjiang Securities·2025-09-02 23:30

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 25.62 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.62 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 22.2% [2][6]. Summary by Sections - Revenue Breakdown: In H1 2025, the revenue from various product categories was as follows: packaged water 9.44 billion yuan (+10.7%), tea beverages 10.09 billion yuan (+19.7%), functional drinks 2.90 billion yuan (+13.6%), juice 2.56 billion yuan (+21.3%), and others 630 million yuan (+14.8%) [7]. - Profitability: The gross margin increased by 1.5 percentage points to 60.3% due to a decline in raw material prices such as PET and sugar. The net profit margin reached 29.7%, up by 1.6 percentage points, marking a new high for the company [7]. - Market Outlook: The company expects continued growth in market share for packaged water, driven by a favorable competitive landscape and improved brand strength. Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.5 billion yuan, 16.6 billion yuan, and 18.6 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.29 yuan, 1.47 yuan, and 1.65 yuan [7].