CHINA LESSO(HK:02128)2025-09-03 01:47Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Lesso Group, with a target price of RMB 7.10, which corresponds to HKD 7.80 based on the exchange rate of 0.91 [3][12]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company's net profit increased by 0.3% year-on-year, reaching RMB 1.046 billion, despite a revenue decline of 8.0% to RMB 12.475 billion. The gross profit margin slightly improved to 28.2% from 27.5% in the previous year, attributed to automation, cost control, and enhanced production efficiency [1][14]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its environmental protection business, enhancing its supply chain service platform, and streamlining its new energy business in response to market challenges [1][14]. - The agricultural application of plastic pipes is being promoted, with the gross profit margin for this segment remaining stable at 29.4% [4][14]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in Southeast Asia, North America, and Africa, with new production bases established in Tanzania and Ethiopia [4][14]. Financial Summary - The projected net profits for China Lesso Group from 2025 to 2027 are RMB 2.201 billion, RMB 2.476 billion, and RMB 2.675 billion, respectively. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are RMB 0.71, RMB 0.80, and RMB 0.86 [3][5][12]. - Revenue forecasts indicate a decline of 12% in 2024, followed by a decrease of 4% in 2025, with a recovery expected in subsequent years [5][12]. - The company's financial ratios show a projected improvement in profitability, with a return on equity (ROE) expected to rise from 7.06% in 2024 to 8.57% in 2027 [8][5].