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东鹏控股(003012):2025年中报点评:瓷砖零售渠道逆势增长,经营质量稳步提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company has shown resilience in retail channels, achieving a 5.94% year-on-year growth in tile retail revenue despite overall revenue decline [7] - The company is focusing on channel optimization and cost reduction to enhance operational efficiency and improve profitability [7] - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being 4.39 billion, 5.38 billion, and 5.96 billion respectively [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 29.34 billion, a decrease of 5.18% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.19 billion, an increase of 3.85% [7] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 30.33%, a slight decrease of 0.25 percentage points compared to the previous year [7] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 4.37 billion, up 92.99% year-on-year [7] - The company's asset-liability ratio stood at 34.11%, a decrease of 2.18 percentage points from the end of the previous year [7] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - The company’s total revenue is projected to be 6.16 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year decline of 4.82% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.38 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.93 [1] - The company is expected to maintain a stable gross margin, with projections of 30.08% in 2025 and gradually increasing to 30.75% by 2027 [8]