ZPUG(SZ:000685) Guoxin Securities·2025-09-03 02:58Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][17][24] Core Views - The company's revenue slightly declined by 1.51% year-on-year to 2.121 billion yuan in H1 2025, primarily due to a decrease in the engineering segment. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 29.6% to 719 million yuan, driven by a 65.4% increase in investment income from joint ventures and associates [1][6][17] - The company successfully held a public hearing for water price adjustments, which is expected to enhance the performance of its water supply segment once implemented [3][17] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.509 billion, 1.673 billion, and 1.828 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.9%, 10.9%, and 9.2% [17][22] Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the environmental water segment generated 786 million yuan in revenue, up 13.8% year-on-year, while the solid waste segment saw a 14.9% increase to 399 million yuan. The engineering segment's revenue fell by 13.9% to 732 million yuan [1][6] - The overall gross margin for the company was 22.19%, a decrease of 0.56 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for the environmental water business dropped from 29.5% to 22.7% [2][7] Financial Metrics - The company reported a significant increase in accounts receivable, which rose by 34.62% year-on-year to 1.952 billion yuan. Operating cash flow improved slightly, with a cash flow of -370 million yuan, an increase of 30 million yuan year-on-year [11][20] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.02 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.9 [22][21] Market Performance - The company's current stock price is 10.08 yuan, with a market capitalization of 14.869 billion yuan. The stock has a 52-week high of 10.57 yuan and a low of 7.10 yuan [5][21]