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东北固收转债分析:胜蓝转02定价:首日转股溢价率10-15%
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The target price of Shenglan Convertible Bond 02 on the first day of listing is expected to be between 131 - 137 yuan, and investors are advised to actively subscribe. Based on the par value of 119.19 yuan as of September 1, 2025, and referring to similar convertible bonds, the conversion premium rate on the first - day of listing is estimated to be in the range of 10% - 15% [3][21]. - The estimated first - day new - bond subscription winning rate is around 0.0022% - 0.0025%. Assuming the old shareholders' placement ratio is 56% - 61%, the scale available for the market is 1.76 billion - 1.98 billion yuan, and with an assumed online effective subscription of 7.92 million households, the winning rate is calculated [4][22]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1. Shenglan Convertible Bond New - Bond Analysis and Investment Recommendations 3.1.1. Analysis of Convertible Bond Basic Terms - The issuance method of Shenglan Convertible Bond 02 is priority placement and online issuance, with a bond and issuer rating of AA -. The issuance scale is 450 million yuan, the initial conversion price is 54.56 yuan, the convertible bond par value is 119.19 yuan, the pure bond value is 94.58 yuan. The game terms are normal. Overall, the bond issuance scale is low, the liquidity is poor, the rating is acceptable, and the bond floor protection is good. It is not difficult for institutions to include it in their portfolios, and there is no objection to primary - market participation [2][17]. 3.1.2. Analysis of New - Bond Initial Listing Price - The company is mainly engaged in the R & D, production, and sales of electronic connectors, precision components, and new - energy vehicle connectors and their components. After deducting issuance fees, 255 million yuan of the raised funds is planned for the R & D and construction project of new - energy vehicle high - voltage connectors and components, and 195 million yuan for the R & D and construction project of industrial control connectors [3][20]. 3.1.3. Analysis of Convertible Bond New - Bond Subscription Winning Rate - As of March 31, 2025, the top two major shareholders held 56.4% of the shares, and the top ten major shareholders held 61.13%. Assuming the old shareholders' placement ratio is 56% - 61%, the scale available for the market is 1.76 billion - 1.98 billion yuan. With an assumed online effective subscription of 7.92 million households, the winning rate is estimated to be around 0.0022% - 0.0025% [4][22]. 3.2. Analysis of the Underlying Stock's Fundamental Situation 3.2.1. Company's Main Business and the Up - and Downstream Situations of the Industry - The company is a high - tech enterprise focusing on the R & D, production, and sales of electronic connectors, precision components, and new - energy vehicle connectors and their components. The upstream raw materials include metal and plastic materials, and the downstream includes various application fields such as automotive, telecommunications, and data communication. The connector industry shows a trend of professional segmentation [23][24]. 3.2.2. Company's Operating Conditions - From 2022 to Q1 2025, the company's operating income was 1.17 billion yuan, 1.241 billion yuan, 1.287 billion yuan, and 337 million yuan respectively, with year - on - year growth rates of - 10.16%, 6.06%, 3.71%, and 17.18%. The main business income comes from consumer - electronics connectors and components and new - energy vehicle connectors and components. The company's comprehensive gross margin and net profit margin have been increasing, while the period expenses have slightly increased, and the R & D expenses have shown a growth trend. The accounts receivable has remained relatively stable, and the accounts - receivable turnover rate is lower than the industry average [26][30][33]. 3.2.3. Company's Equity Structure and Main Subsidiaries - As of March 31, 2025, Shenglan Investment Holding Co., Ltd. was the largest shareholder, holding 54.20% of the shares. The top two major shareholders held 56.4% of the shares, and the top ten major shareholders held 61.13%. Huang Xuelin was the actual controller, holding 45.28% of the equity [44][46]. 3.2.4. Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has advantages in talent cultivation, technical capabilities, and market foundation. It has established a talent - training mechanism, holds 432 patents as of March 2025, and has stable cooperation relationships with many well - known companies in the consumer - electronics and new - energy vehicle fields [49]. 3.2.5. Arrangement of the Current Raised Funds - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 450 million yuan. After deducting issuance fees, 255 million yuan is for the new - energy vehicle high - voltage connector and component project with a total investment of 255.7587 million yuan and an annual production capacity of 8 million pcs after completion; 195 million yuan is for the industrial control connector project with a total investment of 196.577 million yuan and an annual production capacity of 48 million pcs after completion [51][52].