公用事业行业八月行业动态报告：上半年水火业绩增长，7月用电量创新高

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the growth in the power industry, with a focus on the performance of thermal and hydropower sectors, while nuclear and renewable energy sectors face challenges [48][56] - The carbon trading market is evolving, with significant trading volumes and price fluctuations, indicating a dynamic regulatory environment [29][31] - The report emphasizes the importance of the green certificate system and its impact on renewable energy projects [6][7] Industry News - The National Energy Administration issued 236 million green certificates in July 2025, with 166 million being tradable, reflecting a robust renewable energy project landscape [6] - The Central Government released its first carbon market document, outlining a roadmap for the carbon market's development by 2027 [7] - The Hubei Provincial Development and Reform Commission announced a market-oriented reform plan for renewable energy pricing, effective from October 2025 [10][11] Industry Data Carbon Trading Market Situation - The national carbon market saw a closing price of 72.68 CNY/ton, with a total trading volume of 15.1 million tons in the latest month [29] - Cumulative trading volume from January to August 2025 reached 65.4 million tons, indicating strong market activity [29] Power Industry Related Data - Total electricity consumption in July 2025 reached 1,022.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [31][59] - Cumulative installed power generation capacity reached 3.67 billion kW by the end of July 2025, with solar and wind power showing significant growth rates of 50.8% and 22.1%, respectively [25][37] Performance Overview - The power industry reported a slight revenue decline of 2.2% in the first half of 2025, but net profit increased by 2.6% [48] - Thermal and hydropower sectors showed positive profit growth, while nuclear and renewable sectors faced profitability challenges [52][54] Investment Recommendations and Stock Pool - The report suggests focusing on green electricity and renewable energy sectors, with specific recommendations for leading companies like Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [78][80] - For thermal power, companies with significant coal exposure and stable long-term contracts are recommended, such as Datang Power and Jiantou Energy [80] - Water and nuclear power sectors are highlighted for their long-term investment value, with recommendations for companies like Yangtze Power and China Nuclear Power [80]