CAMCE(SZ:002051) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-03 12:36Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company [3][9]. Core Views - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 34.9% year-on-year in H1 2025, with Q1 and Q2 showing declines of 12.17% and 70.39% respectively. However, the gross profit margin improved significantly [2][4]. - Operating cash flow showed significant improvement, with new contracts increasing by 33% [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company's revenue was 4.788 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.95% year-on-year. The revenue breakdown includes international engineering at 3.207 billion yuan (down 11.28%), equipment R&D and manufacturing at 717 million yuan (up 8.54%), and consulting design at 582 million yuan (down 0.56%) [4]. - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 18.60%, an increase of 1.60 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 3.70%, a decrease of 1.24 percentage points [4]. - The company reported a significant improvement in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 797 million yuan, compared to a negative 1.343 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [5]. Contract and Order Growth - New contracts signed in H1 2025 totaled 2.139 billion USD, representing a growth of 33%. Domestic engineering contracting saw a remarkable increase of 530.19% [5][19]. - The company has established a strong presence in various sectors, including medical construction and waste management, and has achieved significant milestones in its investment and operation business [6]. Financial Forecast - The report forecasts EPS growth of 10%, 9%, and 8% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with projected EPS of 0.32, 0.35, and 0.38 yuan [3][20]. - The target price for the company is set at 10.73 yuan, based on a PE ratio of 33.5 for 2025 [3][9]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company holds a leading position in the industry with strong brand influence and technical advantages in high-end equipment R&D and manufacturing [6]. - The successful completion of key projects, such as the first cable car project in Xinjiang, demonstrates the company's capability in expanding its operational footprint [6].