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长城汽车(601633):中报点评:高价车型占比加之规模效应,盈利能力环比较好明显
Changjiang Securities·2025-09-03 23:30

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 52.32 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.59 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 19.5% [2][4]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion and is committed to transitioning to new energy vehicles, with a continuous new car cycle expected to drive improvements in sales and performance [2]. - The company's four major expansion strategies are expected to open up long-term growth potential for sales, while the shift towards intelligent vehicles is anticipated to enhance profitability across the entire industry chain [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company sold 313,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.9%. The sales of new energy vehicles reached 98,000 units, up 33.7% year-on-year and 56.4% quarter-on-quarter, with new energy vehicles accounting for 36.8% of total sales [2][4]. - The revenue for Q2 2025 was 52.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.7%. The average revenue per vehicle was 167,000 yuan, showing a slight decrease of 0.4 thousand yuan year-on-year but an increase of 1.1 thousand yuan quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 18.8%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 1.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 8.8%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year and 4.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on three dimensions: product, channel, and supply chain adjustments in the domestic market. It is committed to deepening its transition to new energy, with a focus on plug-in hybrid vehicles and a clear positioning for new products [2]. - The "ONE GWM" strategy is accelerating the company's overseas expansion, covering over 170 countries and regions, with more than 1,400 overseas sales channels established [2]. - The company is enhancing its technological capabilities in the era of intelligence, focusing on data, algorithms, and computing power to strengthen its competitive edge [2]. Future Outlook - The company expects to see continued growth in sales and performance driven by its overseas expansion and the acceleration of new energy vehicle transitions, along with an increase in the proportion of high-value models like the Tank and WEY [2]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.13 billion yuan, 17.12 billion yuan, and 21.52 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding A-share PE ratios of 15.7X, 12.9X, and 10.3X [2].